What changed?
What matters?
What needs your attention?
1Define the decision
What actual choice or action must be made?
2Identify assumptions
What must be true for the current plan to work?
3Gather evidence
Record observations and sources. Separate fact, inference and forecast.
4Challenge the strongest assumption
What evidence would make you change your mind?
5Pre-mortem
Assume this failed. What plausible causes, warning signs and mitigations explain the failure?
6Find missing information
What do you still not know, and could it change the decision?
7Reduce alternatives
Remove duplicates and weak variants. Keep materially different survivors.
8Show remaining uncertainty
What disagreement, ambiguity or evidence limit remains?
9STOP / human decision
State the current decision point. "Enough" means enough for this task, not certainty.
Evidence Grid
Apply consistent questions to sources or options. Add only evidence you can identify.
| Source / option | Claim / factor | Supports / contradicts | Date | Evidence / note |
|---|
STOP check
If these are satisfied, stop generating more variants by default. Use Go deeper only deliberately.